hi5 dominates OpenSocial while the rest stagnant
It’s now been a few weeks, things are settling on hi5 at last. According the engineers over there, a new notifications system has been implemented (pushed on Monday) something along the lines of an actual queue system. The changes they have made definitely show, not just in how our applications load but they are reflected in our stats:

I can’t offer real numbers, sorry! But I promise they aren’t exactly in the hundreds or anything. hi5 is definitely chugging along. If you didn’t hear or see it, hi5 posted some stats about their platform during the Web 2.0 conference last week:
- Production launch 3/31, full launch to 100% of users 4/4
- 65 applications at launch, 328 today in 21 categories
- Averaging > 1 million new installs each day
- 5 apps with > 1 million installs, 11 more with > 500k installs
- Top apps getting > 1 million daily canvas views
- ~50% of active users have at least one application installed
- Active users average ~3 apps on every profile, with as many as 16
While hi5 is giving developers instant success in some cases as I have talked to a few developers, MySpace continues to stagnant:

This is the number 1 application on MySpace right now, it’s called Truth Box (to no surprise, there are 4 of the same Truth Box style applications on MySpace). How its growth reached where it is, is quite suspect at this point but if you take a look at the weekly trend you’ll see that it’s closing in everyday on becoming more and more flat given the potential of MySpace’s real network effect. It’s growth is less attributed to MySpace and moreso to advertising and cross promotion with larger audiences on other social networks that probably also exist on MySpace as well.
A number of applications are already flat. MySpace is not pushing out fast enough and as a result we’re starting to see more blackhat techniques implemented to spark growth in lieu of actual ways to grow viral. postTo is weak attempt, I think others would agree. It may convert, but it sure as hell doesn’t convert well.
At this point, MySpace is the best platform to create the largest revenue stream while hi5 is the best platform to grow virally as expected but you’ll find it hard to be able to make revenue with the same weighted value as MySpace. It’s difficult to say who to go after but often easier to make the choice to do both. A lot of us are doing that.
MySpace give us something to grow a user-base and I bet you you’ll see some real application innovation and less black hat techniques to subvert your users. You’re not doing a great job of helping your now starving developers. We need concrete dates, we need to know exactly what’s going on. Additionally, features need to stop breaking during every push, when breaks occur they need to be documented.
One of the silliest ideas yet was for changes to not be pushed live anymore. I am not sure who came up with that idea but hi5 has created an almost brilliant one: Make a REFRESH button. Let us publish changes, see them in development mode and when we want them to go live, let us hit a nice shiny button that makes it instant. You guys are smart engineers, would you like it if we made you wait an entire day after you pushed an update to MySpace.com to see how it went? No, that would be chaotic, why impose the same restrictions on us?
I don’t even think I really even have to mention how bad Orkut is doing with their entire platform launch. I don’t think anyone cares either at this point with the bigger networks actually iterating. To sum up Orkut, I’ll write some code:
if ($network == ‘orkut’) {
while(true) { continueToBreakMorePromises(); }
}


